Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.533141 2.772045 3.028578 3.325374 3.660342 4.027894 4.463355
2025-11-02 2.190754 2.515088 2.885573 3.343272 3.897894 4.553839 5.396734
2025-11-09 1.920443 2.278016 2.704275 3.255880 3.959652 4.839803 6.043651
2025-11-16 1.741490 2.119686 2.586098 3.212778 4.047108 5.140877 6.719885
2025-11-23 1.612229 2.005555 2.504845 3.197840 4.155596 5.465203 7.451424
2025-11-30 1.544199 1.960739 2.504186 3.282381 4.397841 5.988227 8.523983
2025-12-07 1.449560 1.871437 2.434285 3.261297 4.483468 6.289054 9.295453
2025-12-14 1.361921 1.784142 2.358664 3.222438 4.534554 6.537047 10.008496
2025-12-21 1.259274 1.668852 2.234977 3.101955 4.448642 6.559406 10.343515
2025-12-28 1.207318 1.621012 2.203080 3.113448 4.564401 6.910466 11.287215
2026-01-04 1.167724 1.587885 2.189412 3.149955 4.720641 7.341280 12.433997
2026-01-11 1.134113 1.561031 2.182519 3.195110 4.892998 7.815393 13.733146
2026-01-18 1.099590 1.531779 2.171441 3.234832 5.063689 8.313300 15.181631
2026-01-25 1.062381 1.496356 2.148551 3.253273 5.199023 8.762609 16.613370
2026-02-01 1.004639 1.426525 2.067726 3.169008 5.143556 8.843549 17.258117
2026-02-08 0.961000 1.376158 2.014622 3.127384 5.160641 9.065285 18.257619
2026-02-15 0.926445 1.338170 1.979039 3.112953 5.225917 9.389231 19.557181
2026-02-22 0.913909 1.334103 1.997937 3.194629 5.479958 10.131604 22.041812
2026-03-01 0.882132 1.297679 1.961335 3.174262 5.533154 10.453049 23.512656
2026-03-08 0.849206 1.257906 1.917026 3.136720 5.548408 10.692357 24.813233
2026-03-15 0.803882 1.196116 1.832705 3.020294 5.394168 10.532980 24.960151
2026-03-22 0.784018 1.175360 1.817308 3.031401 5.503482 10.992242 27.013567
2026-03-29 0.769405 1.162616 1.814926 3.066682 5.666306 11.598576 29.671371